Where the Money Goes in Prediction Markets
A data-first look at 72 million Kalshi trades: market accuracy, longshot returns, the maker–taker gap across categories, and how that gap shifted as the market grew.
4 min readA personal notebook
Finance, AI, and how things work.
Engineer, founder, and pragmatist. I build software and follow my curiosity across technology, markets, and the systems behind them.
Following the footnotes
On the bookshelf
Finance, business, software, and the occasional detour. A reading log that goes back to 2015.
- Books read
- 145
- Avg. books / year
- 13.1
Top categories
- Self-Help 35 entries
- Business 33 entries
- Fun 33 entries
From the notebook
Latest writing
User-Friendly Approaches and Diverse Language Support
Large Language Models (LLMs) are changing the way we interact with data. The future of LLMs may not be tied to a specific programming language, but rather to more …
2 min readInsights from the last AI Cycle
An analysis of the AI development cycle from 2016-2018, highlighting key lessons in strategic planning, the need for sustainable business models, the value of simplicity, and …
2 min read