Where the Money Goes in Prediction Markets
A data-first look at 72 million Kalshi trades: market accuracy, longshot returns, the maker–taker gap across categories, and how that gap shifted as the market grew.
4 min readThe notebook
Writing filed under “Prediction-Markets”.
A data-first look at 72 million Kalshi trades: market accuracy, longshot returns, the maker–taker gap across categories, and how that gap shifted as the market grew.
4 min read